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Author: Bruxy Cavey
[but] this girl has heart' – Publishers Weekly starred review‘Memorable and riveting’ - Lovereading
Katherine Paterson
The tempestuous
It's safer to keep her mouth shut and stay out of sight
Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Debra Mayhew Author: Bruxy CaveyThe most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the weeks meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an
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